I haven’t read Climate change and poverty in Africa: mapping hotspots of vulnerability, and nor am I likely to find the time to do so any time soon. But judging from the write-up at Eldis this paper from the African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics will be of interest to those who find this sort of thing interesting. The paper “uses a broad-brush analysis at the continental level to identify areas or ‘hotspots’ that are already vulnerable and likely to suffer substantial impacts as a result of climate change.”
The authors conclude that these results argue against large ‘magic bullet’ approaches and favour smaller, better targeted local approaches and interventions. Considerable future work is needed to refine the hotspots analysis and increase the resolution of impact studies, and thus contribute to a better understanding of the issues facing millions of people who depend on natural resources for their livelihood.
I wonder how that squares with other approaches to vulnerability in Africa, like the models of our pal Andy Jarvis and those of David Lobell?