A comment in Conservation Biology this month ((D.K. Skelly et al. (2007) Evolutionary Responses to Climate Change. Conservation Biology 21 (5), 1353–1355. doi:10.1111/j.1523-1739.2007.00764.x)) criticizes a recent paper in the same journal ((J.R. Malcolm (2006) Global Warming and Extinctions of Endemic Species from Biodiversity Hotspots. Conservation Biology 20 (2), 538–548. doi:10.1111/j.1523-1739.2006.00364.x)) which estimated that up to 43% of the endemic biota in some biodiversity hotspots could go extinct as a result of global climate change.
While not disputing that climate change will cause extinctions, the authors of the comment suggest that the climate envelope approach to predicting range changes ((That’s the same kind of approach that’s been used by our friend Andy Jarvis and others to predict dire consequences for the wild relatives of the peanut, potato and cowpea.)) ignores the possibility that species may in fact evolve in response to changes in the climate. And they quote evidence that such genetic change is happening.
Continue reading “Climate change will cause more than extinction”